{ "index_name": "Top Markets by Weekly Volume", "short_name": "TopMarkets", "as_of_week": "2026-W25", "top_k": 30, "markets": [ { "rank": 1, "market_id": "678929", "question": "Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 2739227.867739999, "n_trades": 10347 }, { "rank": 2, "market_id": "692258", "question": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?", "category": "Crypto", "usd_volume": 2527333.620769, "n_trades": 6325 }, { "rank": 3, "market_id": "958443", "question": "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?", "category": "Other", "usd_volume": 2195974.3271349994, "n_trades": 23214 }, { "rank": 4, "market_id": "553858", "question": "Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 1747854.736499, "n_trades": 12227 }, { "rank": 5, "market_id": "553866", "question": "Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 1716262.9876610008, "n_trades": 15960 }, { "rank": 6, "market_id": "629035", "question": "Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 1173085.8966580008, "n_trades": 5238 }, { "rank": 7, "market_id": "678937", "question": "Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 1100164.879586999, "n_trades": 8555 }, { "rank": 8, "market_id": "558936", "question": "Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 938993.8349090035, "n_trades": 7174 }, { "rank": 9, "market_id": "569344", "question": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 892976.8369510002, "n_trades": 4447 }, { "rank": 10, "market_id": "906974", "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?", "category": "Macro", "usd_volume": 821852.1528289998, "n_trades": 11963 }, { "rank": 11, "market_id": "558934", "question": "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 733257.0418320007, "n_trades": 6345 }, { "rank": 12, "market_id": "947289", "question": "Will Roberto S\u00e1nchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 656525.4565220005, "n_trades": 7388 }, { "rank": 13, "market_id": "631181", "question": "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?", "category": "Business", "usd_volume": 649067.7968409997, "n_trades": 3863 }, { "rank": 14, "market_id": "957019", "question": "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?", "category": "Geopolitics", "usd_volume": 618534.6697349997, "n_trades": 11103 }, { "rank": 15, "market_id": "569366", "question": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 583583.7110789999, "n_trades": 6349 }, { "rank": 16, "market_id": "558940", "question": "Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 580131.2442170011, "n_trades": 6119 }, { "rank": 17, "market_id": "947269", "question": "Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 576602.4761640002, "n_trades": 4228 }, { "rank": 18, "market_id": "558935", "question": "Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 493183.6111759999, "n_trades": 3831 }, { "rank": 19, "market_id": "558938", "question": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 465502.3640010002, "n_trades": 4406 }, { "rank": 20, "market_id": "665374", "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?", "category": "Geopolitics", "usd_volume": 457267.8287780001, "n_trades": 2683 }, { "rank": 21, "market_id": "558937", "question": "Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 420309.5526850004, "n_trades": 3648 }, { "rank": 22, "market_id": "569343", "question": "Will Iv\u00e1n Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 412581.2137410001, "n_trades": 3488 }, { "rank": 23, "market_id": "569368", "question": "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", "category": "Politics", "usd_volume": 405820.030831, "n_trades": 5837 }, { "rank": 24, "market_id": "703257", "question": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?", "category": "Other", "usd_volume": 385370.20225299994, "n_trades": 2534 }, { "rank": 25, "market_id": "566136", "question": "Will PSG win the 2025\u201326 Champions League?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 366255.85358000005, "n_trades": 750 }, { "rank": 26, "market_id": "564218", "question": "Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 343341.0314819999, "n_trades": 2269 }, { "rank": 27, "market_id": "906972", "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?", "category": "Macro", "usd_volume": 332149.4431609997, "n_trades": 4014 }, { "rank": 28, "market_id": "558939", "question": "Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", "category": "Sports", "usd_volume": 328444.6367209997, "n_trades": 3488 }, { "rank": 29, "market_id": "573655", "question": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?", "category": "Crypto", "usd_volume": 323314.48836600006, "n_trades": 1873 }, { "rank": 30, "market_id": "956590", "question": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?", "category": "Geopolitics", "usd_volume": 308573.61272100004, "n_trades": 9221 } ], "generated_at": "2026-06-06T20:25:32+00:00", "source": "H:/Research/10. Prediction/data/blockchain/processed_trades.csv", "notes": "Top 5 resolved-trade markets by USD volume in the most recent complete week. Market questions come from polymarket_markets.csv (static snapshot); new markets not in that file will appear with question=null." }